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Abstract

This study sought to identify the adoption rate of technologv innovations developed by the Institute Of Production Innovation (IPI) at the University Of Dar-es-Salaam since 1984 to 1997 using a sigmoid shaped curve (S-shaped curves) to predict the life cycles of the respective technologies. Depending on the stimuli imparted to the specific technology, some of such technologies for instance, cinva ram and block making machines with hollow/spacer/louver exhibited longer life period as indicated by a series Of infer-connected S-curves. Other technologies including but nor limited to sunflower oil processing kit-winnowers, scorcher with one stove, seed roller, standard wheelbarrow, and manual decorticator had reached saturation level of technological advancement within single life cycle (that is, the sales of the respective technologies stopped years back). A decision should had been made to whether to impart research initiatives based on market research results or be discarded as no longer mel any target market. Potential technologies for advancement within the technology shelf are also highlighted and discussed.

Publisher Name

University of Dar es Salaam

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